◈PREDICTIONMARKET RESEARCH / LIVE
● PAPER TRADING
BTC / 5M / CONTROLLED EXPERIMENT

Strategy monitor.

Baseline and challenger. Same feed, independent portfolios.

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PERFORMANCE

Realized equity

BaselineChallenger$1,000 starting equity each · Realized P&L only
REFERENCE PRICE

BTC reference price

Awaiting data
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Chainlink · BTC/USD · 60s TWAP
Recorded window—
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Opening reference —No price yet
TRADE JOURNAL

Trade journal

OpenedStrategy / SideAvg. priceCostModel probabilityStatusRealized P&L
RESEARCH GATE

Validation progress

Paper only

Review begins after 200 settled trades and 14 active days per strategy. These thresholds do not establish profitability.